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MLB · Saturday, May 9 · Globe Life Field

Cubs

at

Rangers

Away
Chicago Cubs logo
Chicago Cubs
2612
SP: Edward Cabrera
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Texas Rangers logo
Texas Rangers
1720
SP: Jack Leiter
The Edge Indicator · V2
Lineups pending
13
— Edge Favors
Chicago Cubs
"Cubs' 5.89 R/G and Cabrera's steadier arm over Leiter's 6.28 ERA L3 create a clear offensive edge."
← Strong TEXEven-13Strong CHC
-1000+100
— The Eight Components

What's moving the score.

1
Starting Pitcher
XFIP- ADJUSTED
CHC
+39
2
Bullpen
WPA/LI + AVAILABILITY
CHC
+1
⊕ Free Tier Ends Here
3
Offense
WRC+ LAST 30 DAYS
CHC
+41
Pro
4
Defense
OAA + DRS COMBINED
±0
Pro
5
Matchup
PITCHER ARSENAL VS LINEUP
±0
Pro
6
Park Factor
3-YR HR + RUN FACTOR
CHC
+6
Pro
7
Weather
WIND + TEMP IMPACT
±0
Pro
8
Rest & Travel
BULLPEN USAGE + DAYS
±0
Pro
— The Read

Leiter's recent form is a problem—6.28 ERA over his last three starts with the Rangers' offense limping at 3.69 R/G over the last month. Cabrera has been shakier (4.45 ERA L3), but he's still the better option against a Texas lineup missing consistency outside of Nimmo's 9-game on-base streak. The Cubs' offense is humming at 5.89 R/G with an 0.825 OPS, anchored by Happ's 28-game on-base streak and Crow-Armstrong riding 12 straight. The dome removes weather variance, but Cubs' pitching and offensive firepower give them the clearer path tonight.

See the math behind each component ↓
Updated 1 hr ago· Information only
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§ Form Guide

How they're trending.

Last 10 games
CubsW10

Cubs are 9-0 L10, winners of 10 straight, outscoring opponents by 2.2 runs per game.

90
L10
5.1
Runs / G
+2.2
Run Diff
RangersL2

Rangers are 3-6 L10, run differential -1.8 per game over the last ten.

36
L10
2.5
Runs / G
-1.8
Run Diff
§ Pitching Matchup

The arms tonight.

2026 · Statcast
Cubs · 30
Edward Cabrera

Edward Cabrera

3.27
ERA
1.28
WHIP
8.06
K/9
Pitch Arsenal · 2026
Changeup
33.6%
Whiff 32.8%BAA .222K 27%
Curveball
21.0%
Whiff 29.8%BAA .231K 38%
Sinker
20.1%
Whiff 3.2%BAA .361
4-Seam Fastball
14.6%
Whiff 25.7%BAA .235
Slider
10.7%
Whiff 48.5%BAA .182
Last 5 Starts
DateOppIPERKRes
5/4Reds6.038W
4/28Padres5.237W
4/23Phillies7.035W
4/17Mets6.034W
4/11Pirates5.034ND
Rangers · 13
Jack Leiter

Jack Leiter

5.45
ERA
1.37
WHIP
10.18
K/9
Pitch Arsenal · 2026
4-Seam Fastball
41.1%
Whiff 27.3%BAA .184K 26%
Changeup
20.7%
Whiff 35.8%BAA .306K 25%
Slider
17.5%
Whiff 38.5%BAA .290K 32%
Cutter
8.6%
Whiff 29.6%BAA .143K 31%
Curveball
7.4%
Whiff 30.8%BAA .500K 33%
Last 5 Starts
DateOppIPERKRes
5/3Tigers6.2510ND
4/27Yankees6.044ND
4/22Pirates5.035ND
4/16Athletics5.233W
4/11Dodgers3.254ND
§ Conditions

Indoors tonight.

Climate-controlled. Roof closed. Weather is not a factor.

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