Twins
Guardians
What's moving the score.
Ryan owns a significant ERA advantage (3.72 vs. 4.58) and has struck out 9.7 per nine over his last three starts, giving Minnesota the pitching edge. Cleveland counters with a superior bullpen (4.01 ERA vs. 4.76) and hot offensive momentum—DeLauter's 15-game on-base streak and Hedges hitting .375 in his last five games provide real run-production threats. Minnesota's offense scores 4.81 runs per game and carries slight lineup depth, but Ryan's recent struggles (4.86 ERA in his last three) temper his season credentials. This one splits the difference: Minnesota's pitching advantage meets Cleveland's bullpen strength and offensive rhythm in what amounts to a true toss-up.
See the math behind each component ↓How they're trending.
TwinsL3Twins are 3-6 L10, run differential -1.5 per game over the last ten.
GuardiansW3Guardians are 6-3 L10, run differential +0.8 per game over the last ten.
The arms tonight.
Joe Ryan
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | Jays | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 4/28 | Mariners | 6.0 | 2 | 6 | ND |
| 4/23 | Mets | 5.0 | 4 | 5 | ND |
| 4/17 | Reds | 6.0 | 1 | 6 | ND |
| 4/11 | Jays | 7.0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Tanner Bibee
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4 | Royals | 4.0 | 4 | 4 | ND |
| 4/28 | Rays | 5.0 | 1 | 6 | ND |
| 4/22 | Astros | 6.0 | 2 | 3 | ND |
| 4/17 | Orioles | 6.0 | 0 | 5 | ND |
| 4/12 | Braves | 4.2 | 8 | 4 | ND |
Game-time forecast.
Rain in Cleveland, OH at first pitch.
→ Blowing out to center — favors hitters
Five-minute reads. Three hours before first pitch.
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