Cardinals
Padres
What's moving the score.
Vásquez has been sharp over his last three starts with a 4.19 ERA and solid 5.8 K/9, while May arrives at 5.15 for the season and just 3.16 over his last three—a clear pitching advantage for San Diego. St. Louis counters with Herrera riding a 24-game on-base streak and Walker at 13 games, keeping the offense in the conversation despite the run-rate deficit (4.73 R/G vs. 4.50). Petco's pitcher-friendly dimensions (0.94 run factor) amplify the quality-start edge, and both bullpens are similarly taxed at 3 innings yesterday. Slight lean Padres, but the Cardinal lineup's momentum makes this closer than the pitching split suggests.
See the math behind each component ↓How they're trending.
CardinalsW2Cardinals are 7-2 L10, run differential +1.5 per game over the last ten.
PadresL2Padres are 3-6 L10, run differential -0.9 per game over the last ten.
The arms tonight.
Dustin May
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | Dodgers | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | ND |
| 4/27 | Pirates | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 4/21 | Marlins | 5.1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 4/15 | Guardians | 6.0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 4/10 | Sox | 6.0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Randy Vásquez
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4 | Giants | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | ND |
| 4/27 | Cubs | 5.0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 4/21 | Rockies | 7.0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 4/15 | Mariners | 4.0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 4/9 | Rockies | 5.2 | 1 | 8 | W |
Game-time forecast.
Foggy in San Diego, CA at first pitch.
Five-minute reads. Three hours before first pitch.
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