Mets
Diamondbacks
What's moving the score.
Clay Holmes is untouchable right now with a 1.69 ERA and 1.41 ERA over his last three starts, while Merrill Kelly is hemorrhaging runs at 9.95 ERA and 12.95 ERA in his last three outings. Arizona's offense has been the only bright spot—4.68 runs per game over 30 days with a 0.72 OPS—but they're facing a Mets team that owns Alvarez on a 7-game hit streak and Benge riding 5 straight games with a hit. The Mets' bullpen (3.92 ERA) also has a meaningful edge over Arizona's (4.69), and the dome neutralizes any weather advantage. Mets should roll here.
See the math behind each component ↓How they're trending.
MetsW1Mets are 5-4 L10, run differential -0.4 per game over the last ten.
DiamondbacksL3Diamondbacks are 2-7 L10, run differential -1.1 per game over the last ten.
The arms tonight.
Clay Holmes
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | Angels | 6.2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 4/28 | Nationals | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 4/22 | Twins | 7.0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4/15 | Dodgers | 5.0 | 2 | 4 | ND |
| 4/10 | Athletics | 5.1 | 1 | 3 | ND |
Merrill Kelly
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | Cubs | 4.1 | 6 | 5 | ND |
| 4/28 | Brewers | 5.0 | 5 | 1 | ND |
| 4/21 | Sox | 4.1 | 8 | 5 | ND |
| 4/14 | Orioles | 5.1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Indoors tonight.
Climate-controlled. Roof closed. Weather is not a factor.
Five-minute reads. Three hours before first pitch.
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