Janson Junk has been rolling with a 0.56 ERA across his last three starts, giving Miami a clear pitching advantage over Washington's unavailable starter data. The Nationals counter with a potent offense averaging 5.07 runs per game over the last month—led by Brady House riding a 5-game hit streak—while Miami's lineup sits at 3.85 R/G with Otto Lopez extending an 11-game on-base streak. Both bullpens are similarly worn (Nats at 4.73 ERA, Marlins at 4.03), so the edge comes down to whether Junk can suppress a Washington offense built to score. This is a genuine toss-up, with Junk's arm keeping Miami competitive despite the run-scoring gap.