Rays
Sox
What's moving the score.
Martinez has been nearly untouchable with a 0.90 ERA over his last three starts, while Tolle, despite a solid 2.09 ERA L3, hasn't faced the same level of dominance. Tampa Bay's bullpen (3.51 ERA) also holds an edge over Boston's (4.00 ERA), both having worked three innings yesterday. Contreras' 13-game on-base streak and Rafaela's 8-game streak give Boston's offense a pulse, but Aranda's .353 average over five games keeps Tampa Bay's lineup engaged despite Palacios' 0-for-17 funk. This one's essentially a coin flip with a slight nod to the Rays' pitching depth.
See the math behind each component ↓How they're trending.
RaysL1Rays are 7-2 L10, run differential +1.6 per game over the last ten.
SoxW1Sox are 5-4 L10, run differential +0 per game over the last ten.
The arms tonight.
Nick Martinez
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4 | Jays | 5.0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 4/28 | Guardians | 7.0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 4/22 | Reds | 8.0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 4/17 | Pirates | 5.1 | 2 | 3 | ND |
| 4/11 | Yankees | 4.2 | 1 | 4 | W |
Payton Tolle
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4 | Tigers | 7.0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 4/28 | Jays | 4.2 | 3 | 4 | ND |
| 4/23 | Yankees | 6.0 | 1 | 11 | ND |
Game-time forecast.
Drizzle in Boston, MA at first pitch.
→ Blowing out to left field
Five-minute reads. Three hours before first pitch.
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