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Los Angeles Angels logo
Los Angeles Angels
1523
SP: Jack Kochanowicz
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Toronto Blue Jays logo
Toronto Blue Jays
1621
SP: Trey Yesavage
The Edge Indicator · V2
Lineups confirmed
+11
— Edge Favors
Toronto Blue Jays
"Yesavage's 0.96 ERA and dominant recent form (+37.6 pitcher edge) overwhelm the Angels' hot bats in a Toronto-favored matchup."
← Strong LAAEven+11Strong TOR
-1000+100
— The Eight Components

What's moving the score.

1
Starting Pitcher
XFIP- ADJUSTED
TOR
+38
2
Bullpen
WPA/LI + AVAILABILITY
TOR
+3
⊕ Free Tier Ends Here
3
Offense
WRC+ LAST 30 DAYS
LAA
+9
Pro
4
Defense
OAA + DRS COMBINED
±0
Pro
5
Matchup
PITCHER ARSENAL VS LINEUP
±0
Pro
6
Park Factor
3-YR HR + RUN FACTOR
±0
Pro
7
Weather
WIND + TEMP IMPACT
±0
Pro
8
Rest & Travel
BULLPEN USAGE + DAYS
±0
Pro
— The Read

Yesavage has been near-untouchable with a 0.99 ERA over his last three starts and 8.9 K/9, facing an Angels lineup that's managed just 4.58 runs per game over 30 days. Kochanowicz counters with a respectable 2.6 ERA in his last three outings, but the gap between the two starters is massive—that +37.6 pitcher edge doesn't happen often. The Angels' streaking bats (Teodosio at .533 over five games, Schanuel's seven-game hit streak) offer some resistance, though Josh Lowe's 0-for-24 drought drains lineup depth. Toronto's pitching advantage is too substantial to overlook in a dome where run suppression naturally favors the quality starter.

See the math behind each component ↓
Updated 1 hr ago· Information only
Unlock all 8 components →
§ Form Guide

How they're trending.

Last 10 games
AngelsL1

Angels are 3-6 L10, run differential -0.9 per game over the last ten.

36
L10
2.4
Runs / G
-0.9
Run Diff
JaysW1

Jays are 4-5 L10, run differential +0.5 per game over the last ten.

45
L10
3.6
Runs / G
+0.5
Run Diff
§ Pitching Matchup

The arms tonight.

2026 · Statcast
Angels · 21
Jack Kochanowicz

Jack Kochanowicz

3.05
ERA
1.21
WHIP
6.53
K/9
Pitch Arsenal · 2026
Sinker
38.6%
Whiff 15.4%BAA .194
Changeup
23.3%
Whiff 31.6%BAA .257
Slider
19.2%
Whiff 43.6%BAA .053K 30%
4-Seam Fastball
18.8%
Whiff 17.9%BAA .200
Last 5 Starts
DateOppIPERKRes
5/9Jays4.060ND
5/3Mets6.126ND
4/27Sox6.025ND
4/21Jays5.211ND
4/15Yankees6.236ND
Jays · 11
Trey Yesavage

Trey Yesavage

0.96
ERA
1.29
WHIP
8.68
K/9
Pitch Arsenal · 2026
4-Seam Fastball
54.5%
Whiff 21.3%BAA .261K 28%
Splitter
36.5%
Whiff 33.3%BAA .100
Last 2 Starts
DateOppIPERKRes
5/3Twins4.016ND
4/28Sox5.103W
§ Conditions

Indoors tonight.

Climate-controlled. Roof closed. Weather is not a factor.

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Game data via the official MLB Stats API. The Edge provides information and statistical analysis only. We do not provide gambling advice, picks, or recommendations. All decisions are yours alone.