Rockies
Phillies
What's moving the score.
Both Freeland and Nola have been rough lately—Nola posting a 6.92 ERA over his last three starts while Freeland sits at 6.51 ERA in the same span. Colorado's offense has the clear advantage: 4.41 runs per game with a 0.748 OPS over 30 days, plus Citizens Bank's 1.05 run factor and 1.12 homer factor both benefit road teams like the Rockies. Freeman's 13-game on-base streak and McCarthy's 12-gamer anchor a lineup that should generate chances, while Marsh's streak keeps Philly dangerous. With two struggling starters and bullpens equally taxed, this leans slightly toward Colorado's superior hitting and park conditions, but the margin is razor-thin.
See the math behind each component ↓How they're trending.
RockiesW2Rockies are 3-7 L10, run differential -1.2 per game over the last ten.
PhilliesL2Phillies are 6-3 L10, run differential +0.2 per game over the last ten.
The arms tonight.
Kyle Freeland
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | Braves | 4.1 | 6 | 7 | ND |
| 4/28 | Reds | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | ND |
| 4/12 | Padres | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | ND |
| 4/7 | Astros | 6.1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 4/1 | Jays | 5.0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Aaron Nola
| Date | Opp | IP | ER | K | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/4 | Marlins | 6.0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 4/26 | Braves | 4.2 | 6 | 6 | ND |
| 4/20 | Cubs | 4.1 | 5 | 5 | ND |
| 4/14 | Cubs | 5.0 | 3 | 5 | ND |
| 4/8 | Giants | 6.0 | 3 | 3 | ND |
Game-time forecast.
Clear in Philadelphia, PA at first pitch.
Five-minute reads. Three hours before first pitch.
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